Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.681546 0.791544 0.910866 1.049570 1.206002 1.376594 1.576321
2025-01-05 0.496124 0.642525 0.816071 1.035385 1.303409 1.618472 2.014855
2025-01-12 0.377846 0.537535 0.741637 1.018023 1.378402 1.827842 2.425567
2025-01-19 0.299801 0.463370 0.686593 1.007203 1.448465 2.026085 2.829396
2025-01-26 0.252461 0.419793 0.661565 1.026742 1.552691 2.269299 3.302918
2025-02-02 0.214445 0.381682 0.636346 1.038927 1.642698 2.494837 3.763539
2025-02-09 0.183044 0.347543 0.610709 1.044646 1.719946 2.703809 4.210693
2025-02-16 0.161799 0.325957 0.600602 1.070887 1.827053 2.959773 4.737742
2025-02-23 0.141187 0.301621 0.582083 1.080201 1.906553 3.177441 5.218836
2025-03-02 0.116956 0.266161 0.539495 1.043984 1.908572 3.274842 5.521808
2025-03-09 0.105566 0.253326 0.534747 1.070812 2.014102 3.537647 6.090913
2025-03-16 0.094867 0.239935 0.526983 1.090786 2.108415 3.786652 6.649878
2025-03-23 0.089543 0.237445 0.540249 1.151323 2.279100 4.173021 7.454548
2025-03-30 0.077942 0.218954 0.519783 1.146845 2.335049 4.373456 7.969739
2025-04-06 0.066997 0.199751 0.495127 1.131282 2.368928 4.537572 8.432435
2025-04-13 0.058055 0.183508 0.474280 1.120495 2.409666 4.714198 8.922957
2025-04-20 0.052686 0.175310 0.469809 1.142240 2.512756 5.004568 9.620024
2025-04-27 0.047385 0.166168 0.461896 1.155697 2.600237 5.271026 10.287180
2025-05-04 0.042284 0.156459 0.451270 1.161997 2.673518 5.514872 10.924853
2025-05-11 0.038985 0.151341 0.450968 1.190753 2.793414 5.849652 11.737772
2025-05-18 0.035097 0.143520 0.442859 1.200956 2.875696 6.117970 12.442087
2025-05-25 0.029477 0.128650 0.414478 1.161286 2.850801 6.181967 12.776765
2025-06-01 0.027345 0.125050 0.415358 1.190675 2.974015 6.534975 13.657391